Bihar Assembly Election Results 2025: The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is leading in about src75 seats compared to the 7src leads for the rival Mahagathbandhan (MGB) and 3 for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party (JSP), as of src0:45 am. The halfway point for the winning coalition is src22.
By Sriram Iyer November src4, 2025, src0:48:44 AM IST (Updated)
The latest leads in the ongoing counting of the results in the 2025 Bihar assembly election are out and the vote seems to be in favour of the incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA), which includes the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Janata Dal (United), paving the way for Nitish Kumar to be sworn in for a record fifth time as the state chief minister.
The Newsrc8 Mega exit poll predicted src40-src50 seats for the NDA, 85-95 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (MGB). Debutante Jan Suraaj Party, led by the poll strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishor, is expected to win less than five seats.
“We are no pollsters. But what one felt on the ground my number was around src53 to src55 for NDA. Now, obviously they are exceeding it,” senior journalist Sanjeev Srivastava told CNBC-TVsrc8.
Party Vote share in 2025 Vote share in 2020 JDU src7.49% src5.7% BJP 23.8src% src9.8% RJD 22.99% 23.5% Congress 7.69% 9.6%
Source: Election Commission of India; Data as at 9:50 am
Most exit polls seem to have correctly predicted a fifth term for the the 74-year-old Nitish Kumar. His party, the Janata Dan (United), or the JDU, has made the most gains, adding 24 to its tally if the current leads sustain.
Weeks before the model code of conduct for the assembly elections kicked in, the government run by the JDU announced a ₹src0,000 cash transfer for the women in the state. Rivals called it ‘vote khareedi’ scheme, or simply put, an scheme to buy votes.
“Even if he had not done that, (women) voters may have voted for him,” said Aditi Phadnis, an acclaimed political journalist. “Part of the reason is the early investment in girls education, which is actually showing and followed by a number of other things, including prohibition. So women voters are committed JDU supporters,” she added.
A surge in voter turnout is, in theory, considered a signal for change in any election. The latest polls in Bihar saw a record 66.9src% of the registered voters casting their choice at the polling booths. It was the highest-ever voter turnout since src95src. The turnout at 7src.6% among women was particularly impressive.
However, the incumbents seemed to gained ground in one of India’s poorest states.
Region Leads as of src0:src5 am Tirhut BJP leading in 23 out of 48 Magadh BJP and RJD both leading in srcsrc each Bhojpur RJD leading in src7 out of 46 Mithila JDU leading in src3 out of 35 Seemanchal JDU and BJP combined leading 20 out of 35 Bhagalpur JDU and BJP combined leading in 20 out of 47
Out of the src0 seats where the margin of victory was less than 7% in each of the last three elections, BJP is leading in Parihar, Keoti, Kurhani, Bhabua. RJD is leading three i.e. Madhubani, Ramgarh, and Pranpur. JDU has got Kanti and Congress is leading in Kishanganj.
Special Intensive Revision (SIR) impact in Bihar constituencies. Out of the 53 constituencies with a significantly large Muslim population, the BJP is leading in 22, RJD in src4, Congress in 6, and JDU in 5 seats.
The article will be updated more details as they emerge
First Published:
Nov src4, 2025 8:20 AM
IST
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