Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains sideways near $27.60 as investors reassess Fed rate cut bets

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains sideways near $27.60 as investors reassess Fed rate cut bets

Silver price consolidates around $27.60 as traders reprice Fed rate cut hopes.
Sticky US inflation will feed expectations for Fed delaying rate cuts.
Investors see the Fed keeping interest rates steady next week.

Silver price (XAG/USD) remains stuck in a tight range around $27.60 in Friday’s American session. Traders reassess expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts as the United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for March remain higher than the consensus.

The annual underlying inflation data rose by 2.7% from the estimates of 2.6% but decelerated from the prior reading of 2.8%. On a month-on-month basis, price pressures grew in line with expectations and the prior reading of 0.3%. Price pressures remaining higher fuel expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining a hawkish monetary policy framework.

The scenario is favorable for the US Dollar and bond yields but weighs on non-yielding assets, such as Silver. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounds from src05.40 amid expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for a longer period. The Fed sees rate cuts appropriate only when they get evidence that inflation will return to the desired rate of 2%. src0-year US Treasury yields are down src.src5% to 4.65%.

Meanwhile, investors shift focus to the Fed’s interest rate decision, which will be announced on May src. The Fed is anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50%. Though the Fed is expected to maintain the status quo, investors will focus on guidance on interest rates.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price corrects to near March 2022 high near $27.00 after failing to extend upside above the crucial resistance of $30.00. The near-term appeal for Silver seems uncertain as it struggles to sustain near the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $27.20.

The src4-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifts into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, suggesting that the bullish momentum has faded for now.

Silver daily chart

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Read More

Leave a Reply